Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 17.579483 20.376471 23.410218 26.937027 30.915705 35.256428 40.341542
2025-08-03 12.881136 16.731381 21.319027 27.147601 34.310887 42.779511 53.496869
2025-08-10 9.814643 13.984677 19.341731 26.637154 36.208828 48.223603 64.312117
2025-08-17 7.716346 11.915881 17.670713 25.979249 37.484406 52.645441 73.883449
2025-08-24 6.172496 10.258181 16.192976 25.217051 38.315546 56.313039 82.508537
2025-08-31 4.916261 8.765019 14.672559 24.099399 38.386897 58.775828 89.487800
2025-09-07 4.300565 8.146822 14.335441 24.620925 40.780724 64.571414 101.423415
2025-09-14 3.779377 7.585845 13.989321 25.043762 42.997717 70.193051 113.399492
2025-09-21 3.204160 6.825380 13.199917 24.633095 43.825930 73.725669 122.420938
2025-09-28 2.693626 6.089701 12.342831 23.986001 44.167170 76.465648 130.324780
2025-10-05 2.584111 6.109600 12.822431 25.671774 48.471341 85.681440 148.797106
2025-10-12 2.446410 6.047586 13.135583 27.075317 52.379149 94.464258 167.026977
2025-10-19 2.204527 5.754824 13.029308 27.808745 55.374490 102.258515 184.667646
2025-10-26 1.923178 5.329290 12.619662 27.957888 57.403510 108.681500 200.654215
2025-11-02 1.622983 4.794663 11.904937 27.422392 58.118372 112.889986 213.182205
2025-11-09 1.360692 4.290309 11.171246 26.745596 58.477158 116.458361 224.781306
2025-11-16 1.134129 3.821395 10.436709 25.963536 58.533107 119.446108 235.490980
2025-11-23 0.923477 3.339328 9.587671 24.817098 57.734425 120.776882 243.281658
2025-11-30 0.834487 3.186894 9.505441 25.352037 60.381724 128.666539 263.319921
2025-12-07 0.751001 3.030137 9.386955 25.785727 62.843766 136.338615 283.344537
2025-12-14 0.641649 2.759764 8.929212 25.364516 63.441844 140.434677 296.908659
2025-12-21 0.539344 2.481603 8.400598 24.700763 63.440223 143.329460 308.325903
2025-12-28 0.531167 2.539457 8.817525 26.429816 68.883677 157.388855 341.804573